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Tuesday, August 19, 2008

Day 3 of Market Correction

Trader Talk

The major stock indexes fell hard once again today on on-going weakness in the housing sector, along with higher than expected inflation, doing nothing to ease trader jitters. Volume was a tad higher than yesterday.

Officially, the NASDAQ fell 1.1% on 1.8 billion shares, while the Dow Industrials dropped 1.1% on NYSE volume of 4.2 billion shares. The leadership profile remains negative, with 42 stocks making new highs versus 286 stocks making new lows.

The short term momentum oscillators remain positive, confirming the bullish stance of the AlphaKing Trading Indicator. We have no new trades at this time.

The relatively low level of stocks making new lows, along with reasonably benign volume on down-days, suggest the current stock market weakness is a normal corrective pullback within an on-going up-trend. We are getting close to levels where the buyers would be expected to step forward, and day four on one-way moves often provide great turning points. Today was day three of the recent selling pressure. The big question with entry trades on day four is whether the low lands at the open, or at the close. Both work well in testing. Our plan is to shoot for the close as being the low, and thus we'll wait till tomorrow's update to switch the unleveraged QQQQ long trade for the Index portfolio to the leveraged QQQQ long one (QLD.)

Kevin Wilde, Chief Trading Strategist AlphaKing.com.

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